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#11: Josh Wilkes on China
Manage episode 383890107 series 3524300
Innhold levert av Nathan Young. Alt podcastinnhold, inkludert episoder, grafikk og podcastbeskrivelser, lastes opp og leveres direkte av Nathan Young eller deres podcastplattformpartner. Hvis du tror at noen bruker det opphavsrettsbeskyttede verket ditt uten din tillatelse, kan du følge prosessen skissert her https://no.player.fm/legal.
Josh Wilkes is someone I update towards on issues around China. He lived there for several years and has since done a masters degree in international relations at the National Sun Yat-Sen University in Taiwan. Predictions: - Xi Carries on in 2027 (75%) - Recession before 2025 (10%) - China significantly supports russia in Ukraine before 2025 (15%) - The debt trap narrative - that China is trying to trap developing nations in debt, is true (25%) - China manages to increase purchasing power of citizens without political representation or strife (15%) - China invades Taiwan before 2027 (12%)
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