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NFL Week 11 Player Props + MNF Preview !!
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Munaf Manji and Steve Reider break down NFL Week 11 player props. The guys also cover Monday night football and give out a best bet.
Summary with More Details 🌟
🎙️ Opening Remarks (0:00-1:45)
- Munaf welcomes listeners to the NFL Week 11 Prop Show.
- Steve Reider joins after a vacation, sharing how he continued betting on offshore books even while away.
- A brief discussion on the Week 11 slate highlights key matchups and the clarity between contenders and pretenders.
🏈 Quarterback Props
Will Levis Interceptions (2:23-3:56)
- Steve picks Will Levis to throw at least one interception (-145).
- Levis has averaged more than one interception per game this season, throwing picks in five of six games.
- He faces the Vikings’ defense, leading the league with 15 interceptions. Brian Flores’ complex defensive schemes are cited as confusing for quarterbacks, particularly young ones like Levis.
Bo Nix Passing Yards (3:57-6:19)
- Munaf predicts Bo Nix to exceed 211.5 passing yards against Atlanta’s weak pass defense.
- Nix has surpassed this threshold in four of his last five games, showing improvement every week. The Falcons, allowing 280 passing yards per game over the last three weeks, are vulnerable, particularly in road games.
🏃♂️ Running Back Props
Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards (6:50-8:08)
- Steve selects Taylor to go over 81.5 rushing yards. Taylor has averaged 5 yards per carry in four of his last six games and exceeded 100 yards in three of those.
- The Jets’ defense ranks poorly in rushing efficiency and allows significant ground yardage, making Taylor a favorable pick.
Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards (8:08-11:22)
- Munaf backs McCaffrey to exceed 79.5 rushing yards against the Seahawks.
- McCaffrey, averaging six yards per carry against Seattle in his career, has thrived historically against their defense. Seattle allows 123 rushing yards per game, making this a favorable matchup for McCaffrey.
Aldric Estime Rushing Yards (15:50-16:44)
- Steve bets on Estime to surpass 57.5 rushing yards as Denver’s featured back.
- The Falcons’ below-average rush defense, coupled with Estime’s increased role (82% of running back carries), creates a solid opportunity for Estime to shine.
👐 Wide Receiver Props
Travis Kelsey Receptions (12:04-12:57)
- Steve predicts Kelsey will record more than six receptions.
- Kelsey leads the league in targets over the last three weeks, with 40 in that span. The Bills’ injured linebackers create additional opportunities for Kelsey to capitalize in this game.
Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards (12:58-15:25)
- Munaf picks Ridley to exceed 55.5 receiving yards, emphasizing his growing target share since DeAndre Hopkins’ trade.
- Ridley leads the league in targets over the past three weeks and has surpassed 70 receiving yards in three consecutive games.
John Smith Receiving Yards (16:45-18:22)
- Munaf highlights Smith’s increasing involvement in the Dolphins’ offense, predicting he’ll go over 32.5 receiving yards.
- Smith averages six targets per game over the last five weeks, while the Raiders’ defense struggles against tight ends.
🔥 Monday Night Football Preview
Texans vs. Cowboys (20:54-23:58)
- Munaf and Steve analyze the Texans’ matchup against a depleted Cowboys team.
- Without Dak Prescott, the Cowboys’ offense looks disjointed, and Cooper Rush struggles to establish rhythm.
- Steve bets on Joe Mixon to exceed 85.5 rushing yards, citing Dallas’ league-worst rush defense. Mixon’s high volume of carries ensures opportunities to capitalize.
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