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Horizon scanning: how good are we at predicting the future?
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Horizon scanning offers the potential to see into the future. Via the presentation of strategic plans and ambitions it seeks to chart what might happen based on historical trends and events. It provides an indication of what can be expected in the future and when done well can serve as a good barometer of the ambitions in place. It also serves as a form of reassurance to an organisation’s board or executive committee, for example. So how good are we at predicting the future? Are predictions safe as a guide to security action? How precise are predictions and how reliable are they? How could improvements be made?
This webinar will discuss:
- How useful is horizon scanning? Can we really predict the future?
- Who is using this approach with what effect?
- How can it be improved?
Panellists:
Masseh Tahiry - Director, Pallas Advisors
Paul Ekblom - Visiting Professor, Department of Security and Crime Science, UCL
A video and summary of this session is available here: https://www.theospas.com/2022/03/10/horizon-scanning-how-good-are-we-at-predicting-the-future/
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