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Predicting the Presidency with Dr. Allan Lichtman
Manage episode 398565431 series 3525127
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Host Grace Cowan is joined today by Dr. Allan Lichtman, renowned historian, author, commentator, professor of history at American University and co-creator of The Keys to the White House. Developed in collaboration with Russian scientist Vladimir Keilis-Borok, this predictive model has accurately determined the outcomes of nine presidential elections since 1984. In this bracing discussion they touch upon possible scenarios pertaining to the upcoming elections. Dr. Lichtman also addresses his book, 13 Cracks: Repairing American Democracy After Trump, highlighting loopholes in the American political system which may threaten our democracy.
00:00 Introduction to Frogmore Stew
00:26 Understanding the Presidential Primaries
01:22 Introducing Dr. Allan Lichtman and his 13 Keys to the White House
01:56 The Origin Story of the 13 Keys
03:39 Explaining the 13 Keys
06:15 Discussing the Impact of Incumbency and Party Battles
07:44 The Role of Scandals and Foreign Policy in Elections
09:18 The Influence of Third Parties
11:53 The Importance of Governing Well
18:06 The Impact of Internal Party Battles
19:39 Threats to Democracy
22:05 Closing Remarks
Copyright 2024 Grace Cowan
- Allan Lichtman - YouTube
- Faculty Profile: Allan Lichtman | American University, Washington, DC
- Allan Lichtman - Wikipedia
- The Poets of Rhythm - South Carolina
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