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Bubble 4.0: Markets Reached ‘Record Levels’ Of Overvaluation, What's Next?
Manage episode 453238984 series 3614106
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Click https://1of10.com/ and use the code “DL70” for 70% OFF, this Black Friday weekend only! David Hay and Jeff Dicks, Co-CIOs of Evergreen Gavekal, explain alternatives to a very frothy equities market, the outlook for the bond market, and the growth prospects for the economy under a second Trump term. *This video was recorded on November 26, 2024 Subscribe to my free newsletter: https://davidlinreport.substack.com/ Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/510WZMFaqeh90Xk4jcE34s Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-david-lin-report FOLLOW EVERGREEN GAVEKAL: Evergreen Compatibility Survey: https://evergreengavekal.com/compatibility-survey/ Haymaker Substack Page: https://haymaker.substack.com/ Bubble 3.0 Audiobook: https://awesound.com/a/bubble-30-historys-biggest-financial-bubble (Enter LINREPORT50 for a 50% discount) David Hay's X (@Haymaker_0): https://twitter.com/Haymaker_0 FOLLOW DAVID LIN: X (@davidlin_TV): https://x.com/davidlin_TV TikTok (@davidlin_TV): https://www.tiktok.com/@davidlin_tv Instagram (@davidlin_TV): https://www.instagram.com/davidlin_tv/ For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com *This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates. 0:00 - Intro 1:05 - What is the Trump trade? 2:40 - Bond market recap 6:10 - Soft or no landing? 7:28 - Retail sales and the consumer 10:00 - Household net worth 11:20 - Real wages 12:25 - Fed monetary policy 13:40 - Global central bank policies 14:34 - U.S. dollar 17:20 - U.S. vs. emerging markets 18:45 - Deficit level 21:40 - Interest rate vs. Inflation 26:10- Tariffs and economic growth 27:25 - Bubble 4.0 31:33 - Alternatives to stocks 32:43 - Valuations point to lower returns 34:20 - Market cyclically 38:33 - U.S. the “envy of the world” 40:45 - Liquidity and market performance 24:45 - Economy now relies on foreign net savings 44:00 - Savings rate 45:30 - Mortgage spreads 48:22 - Mistakes of fixed income portfolios #stocks #economy #investing
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