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9-5-24 Will Yield Be 4% by Friday?

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Manage episode 438341144 series 2602098
Innhold levert av The Lance Roberts Show and Lance Roberts. Alt podcastinnhold, inkludert episoder, grafikk og podcastbeskrivelser, lastes opp og leveres direkte av The Lance Roberts Show and Lance Roberts eller deres podcastplattformpartner. Hvis du tror at noen bruker det opphavsrettsbeskyttede verket ditt uten din tillatelse, kan du følge prosessen skissert her https://no.player.fm/legal.
Friday is the big employment report day; Bonds are very over bought, and bond yields are very oversold. Bonds are fairly deviated from moving averages to the downside. Traders are betting Yield could be 4% by Friday, suggesting the employment report is going to come a much hotter-than-expected. Now, that would be a HUGE move in one day, which we do not expect. However, if we get a strong employment report, followed by a strong CPI report, a reversal in yields would not be surprising. Any data that casts doubt on economic health is going to affect yields: A decline in yields is a bet on weaker economic growth. Any data that argues against that narrative should cause yields to move back up...and we're expecting that to happen because yields are very over bought, getting heard of where the data actually is. So, this will create the buying opportunity if you've been wanting to get into, or increase your holdings in bonds. What gets us there? We don't know, but this is what the bond markets are telling us. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyk8BotCkhk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondYields #EmploymentReport #EconomicWeakness #Oversold #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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2675 episoder

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iconDel
 
Manage episode 438341144 series 2602098
Innhold levert av The Lance Roberts Show and Lance Roberts. Alt podcastinnhold, inkludert episoder, grafikk og podcastbeskrivelser, lastes opp og leveres direkte av The Lance Roberts Show and Lance Roberts eller deres podcastplattformpartner. Hvis du tror at noen bruker det opphavsrettsbeskyttede verket ditt uten din tillatelse, kan du følge prosessen skissert her https://no.player.fm/legal.
Friday is the big employment report day; Bonds are very over bought, and bond yields are very oversold. Bonds are fairly deviated from moving averages to the downside. Traders are betting Yield could be 4% by Friday, suggesting the employment report is going to come a much hotter-than-expected. Now, that would be a HUGE move in one day, which we do not expect. However, if we get a strong employment report, followed by a strong CPI report, a reversal in yields would not be surprising. Any data that casts doubt on economic health is going to affect yields: A decline in yields is a bet on weaker economic growth. Any data that argues against that narrative should cause yields to move back up...and we're expecting that to happen because yields are very over bought, getting heard of where the data actually is. So, this will create the buying opportunity if you've been wanting to get into, or increase your holdings in bonds. What gets us there? We don't know, but this is what the bond markets are telling us. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyk8BotCkhk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondYields #EmploymentReport #EconomicWeakness #Oversold #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
  continue reading

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