Oil insights with Harry Tchilinguirian | We the People Have Chosen | S1 E12

World of Oil Derivatives

Group Head of Research, Harry Tchilinguirian, is joined by Chief Economist at Argus Media, David Fyfe for a special episode of Oil Insights. David brings over 30 years of experience in energy market analysis, from the International Energy Agency (IEA) to Gunvor and now Argus Media, where he delivers deep insights into oil market dynamics, geopolitical risk, and macroeconomic fundamentals.
With the election of Donald J. Trump as the 47th President of the United States, Harry and David explore the potential impacts on the oil market through both economic and geopolitical lenses. From sanctions on Iran and Venezuela to shifting alliances in the Middle East and implications for OPEC+, they delve into what a Trump administration could mean for global oil supplies and prices.
David and Harry discuss the complex web of relationships involving sanctioned nations, including the evolving US-Russia dynamic and how Trump's rapport with Saudi Arabia and Israel might influence geopolitical stability. They also explore the ramifications of Trump's trade policies, especially with China, and the possible effects on global economic growth and oil demand.
On the domestic front, they analyse the prospects for US oil and gas production under Trump’s energy policies and whether we could see a revival of the "drill baby drill" mantra. Finally, Harry and Davis assess the current state of oil market fundamentals as 2024 nears its close, the ongoing debate around oil demand forecasts, and OPEC+'s options in managing supply amid an uncertain market outlook.
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